Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.247837 0.286197 0.329755 0.383129 0.447107 0.521754 0.616056
2025-10-12 0.190947 0.241052 0.304411 0.391538 0.510016 0.668127 0.899605
2025-10-19 0.157801 0.212239 0.286644 0.398158 0.565305 0.813706 1.225082
2025-10-26 0.137410 0.194299 0.277042 0.410124 0.626648 0.979938 1.633745
2025-11-02 0.120634 0.177609 0.264790 0.413495 0.672937 1.132264 2.072008
2025-11-09 0.107098 0.163151 0.252708 0.413449 0.711744 1.280330 2.557639
2025-11-16 0.095696 0.150121 0.240396 0.409848 0.742169 1.419838 3.082063
2025-11-23 0.085857 0.138167 0.227828 0.402954 0.763939 1.547151 3.634327
2025-11-30 0.080244 0.132556 0.225306 0.414154 0.824534 1.776653 4.558650
2025-12-07 0.072989 0.123106 0.214401 0.406644 0.842914 1.913439 5.298536
2025-12-14 0.067940 0.117011 0.208881 0.409094 0.884306 2.121230 6.380587
2025-12-21 0.063166 0.110860 0.202396 0.408259 0.917647 2.319396 7.561494
2025-12-28 0.060124 0.107754 0.201734 0.420731 0.989024 2.657442 9.543720
2026-01-04 0.056974 0.104101 0.199508 0.429350 1.053369 3.003852 11.886662
2026-01-11 0.054016 0.100495 0.196893 0.436580 1.116261 3.375262 14.737501
2026-01-18 0.051810 0.098175 0.196734 0.449904 1.201160 3.866462 18.815301
2026-01-25 0.049102 0.094515 0.193118 0.453661 1.258264 4.284534 23.054339
2026-02-01 0.046391 0.090577 0.188383 0.453609 1.303574 4.681622 27.785573
2026-02-08 0.043683 0.086384 0.182563 0.449588 1.334891 5.038823 32.861445
2026-02-15 0.041004 0.082015 0.175834 0.441893 1.351680 5.342810 38.109630
2026-02-22 0.039686 0.080567 0.176017 0.454395 1.446406 6.087357 49.239706
2026-03-01 0.037363 0.076627 0.169589 0.446011 1.459819 6.424016 56.983431
2026-03-08 0.035783 0.074268 0.166900 0.448746 1.518723 7.056667 70.277992